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Friday, January 24, 2025

Impact of Inflation on Your investments

 

Here are the approximate historical average annual returns for different investment types over a 10-year period, adjusted for inflation where applicable. Keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual returns may vary based on market conditions, economic cycles, and inflation rates.



1. Stocks (Equities)

  • Nominal Returns: ~8% to 12% per year
  • Real Returns (after adjusting for inflation): ~5% to 9%
  • Explanation: Historically, the stock market (e.g., S&P 500) has provided solid long-term returns, often outpacing inflation. However, volatility can lead to short-term losses.

2. Bonds (Fixed Income)

  • Nominal Returns: ~3% to 6% per year
  • Real Returns: ~0% to 3%
  • Explanation: High-quality government bonds (e.g., U.S. Treasuries) tend to provide lower but stable returns. Corporate bonds may yield slightly higher returns but with added risk.


3. Real Estate

  • Nominal Returns: ~6% to 10% per year
  • Real Returns: ~3% to 7%
  • Explanation: Real estate investments generally appreciate over time and rental income can increase with inflation, making it an effective inflation hedge.

4. Commodities (Gold, Oil, etc.)

  • Nominal Returns: ~4% to 8% per year
  • Real Returns: ~1% to 5%
  • Explanation: Gold and commodities often see price increases during inflationary periods, but long-term growth can be inconsistent due to market fluctuations.

5. Cash and Savings Accounts

  • Nominal Returns: ~0.5% to 2% per year
  • Real Returns: -1% to -3% (loss due to inflation)
  • Explanation: Cash and savings accounts provide stability and liquidity but often fail to keep up with inflation, leading to a decline in purchasing power over time.

6. Inflation-Protected Securities (e.g., TIPS)

  • Nominal Returns: ~2% to 4% per year
  • Real Returns: ~0% to 2% (since they are designed to adjust with inflation)
  • Explanation: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) offer lower returns but provide inflation-adjusted income, ensuring the investment maintains real value.

Key Considerations:

  • Inflation Impact: If inflation averages 3% per year, any investment earning below this rate results in a real loss of purchasing power.
  • Risk Tolerance: Higher-return investments like stocks come with more volatility, while lower-return investments like bonds offer stability.
  • Diversification: Combining various asset classes can help balance returns and inflation protection over a 10-year period.

 

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